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Monday, October 18, 2021

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #472


The Week That Was: 2021-10-02 (October 2, 2021)
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: One has to belong to the intelligentsia to believe things like that: no ordinary man could be such a fool. – by George Orwell

Number of the Week: 0.14 °C per Decade

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Reality: As TWTW has emphasized, there is no climate crisis and carbon dioxide (CO2) are the gas of life. All green living things on earth need it to produce food through photosynthesis. and all animal life depends directly, or indirectly, on plant life. Thus, on this planet, life we generally recognize it depends on CO2. Without it, the planet would be barren of most life. Further, as John Tyndall showed in his laboratory experiments starting in 1859, the greenhouse effect prevents the land masses on the planet from going a deep freeze at night, killing all growing plants. Without carbon dioxide and the greenhouse effect, humans would not be seeking life on other planets, because humanity would not exist.

Decades of laboratory experiments have shown have verified the work of Tyndall and that greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide is self-limiting in that the effectiveness of CO2 as a greenhouse gas diminishes rapidly with concentrations above 100 parts per million in volume (100 ppm). It has never been that low. Below 280 ppm many plants could not survive.

In 1979 the National Research Council issued the famed Charney Report, claiming that the modest warming occurring from CO2, well within natural variation, would be greatly amplified by a greater warming from an increase in water vapor, the dominant greenhouse gas. The report offered no physical evidence substantiating this speculation. Yet, the speculation was adopted by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and has remained in its six Assessment Reports.

Since then, space age technology has given researchers the ability to measure what is occurring in the atmosphere in temperature trends, changing greenhouse gases, and changing greenhouse effect. There is no dangerous warming occurring from changing greenhouse gases. The UN IPCCC and other claiming dangerous warming, ignore this physical evidence. Instead, they invent ever more imaginative claims that are not supported by physical evidence to hide their inability show a dangerous atmospheric warming from greenhouse gases.

For those who look beyond the hollow claims of the UN IPCC and its government followers, to include many research institutions in the US, the actual physical evidence is extremely shallow. Computer models that are not validated with physical evidence are not physical evidence; increasing urban temperatures are physical evidence of increasing urbanization, not increasing greenhouse effect; and the greening of the earth from flourishing plant are physical evidence of increasing carbon dioxide concentrations, not increasing warming from the greenhouse effect.

IPCC’s current Summary for Policymakers of its Sixth Assessment Report, AR6, SPM, 2021, pulled a trick like what it did in the second assessment report which earned the criticism of the distinguished physicists Frederick Seitz, who was for ten years the director of the National Academy of Sciences. In the Second Assessment Report (SAR) IPCC inserted, without physical evidence, the hot spot, a pronounced warming of the atmosphere over the tropics which no one has been above to find. In the SPM of AR6 the IPCC inserted a 2000-year hockey-stick, claiming that since year 1, the temperatures have been roughly stable, then shot up with the industrial revolution, starting about 1850.

The SPM of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC featured a hockey-stick that started about the year 1,000 AD with an abrupt increase in temperatures starting about 1850. Statisticians Ross McKitrick and Steve McIntyre destroyed it by showing the methods used produced hockey-sticks from random numbers.

As discussed in the previous several TWTW, statistician Steve McIntyre has traced the history of this hockey-stick to study known as PAGES2k from a group in Bern Switzerland. Little of what is offered as evidence dates back 2000 years, and that which goes back 2000 years does not show a hockey-stick.

Yet many Western governments have embraced these reports in policies to abandon the use of fossil fuels, that will punish their citizens. Instead of reliable electricity from fossil fuels, these policies embrace unreliable electricity from wind and solar. Examination for consistent generation show these sources have only one thing that can be reliable – they fail frequently. Solar fails nightly, and wind fails sporadically, sometimes for days. Modern civilization and modern manufacturing require reliable electricity 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Politicians in these Western countries are establishing policies that will destroy modern civilization. Other pumped hydro-storage there are no means available to store electricity on a utility scale. And the locations were pumped hydro-storage are successful use reliable nuclear or fossil fuel plants for replenishment. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, Defending the Orthodoxy and Measurement Issues – Atmosphere.

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The China Card: As discussed in the last several TWTWs, one of the most remarkable developments over the past 30 years is the remarkable drop in world extreme poverty, mostly occurring in China and the Far East. Those living in extreme poverty, defined as a purchasing power of $1.90 US per day in local purchasing power, went from almost 40% of the world’s population (1.9 billion) to less than 9% (650 million) despite an increase in population of over 2 billion. Much of this occurred thanks to the use of fossil fuels. Today, by far, China is the greatest emitter of CO2, with emissions estimated to be almost as much as the rest of the world combined.

Yet many Western leaders, embracing the false claims and projections of the IPCC, delude themselves into believing they can convince China to return to is old ways. Although he calls CO2 a pollutant, which it is not, writing for the Daily Mail, has an unusually good essay on how deluded this view is. Rose states (edited by Paul Homewood):

“Even though it promised last week to stop building coal power stations abroad, China continues to do just that at home. Last year, its coal-powered capacity rose by 38 gigawatts, while the rest of the world cut capacity by 17 gigawatts.

“China has a further 105 gigawatts of new coal capacity in the construction pipeline — more than the entire generating capacity of the UK from all sources, including nuclear and renewables.”

TWTW adds that China’s use of coal is not an obsession but a practical acknowledgement of coal’s importance for reliable electricity and prosperity. CO2 is not dirty or polluting. The true pollutants from coal-fired power plants can be removed, as they are from US plants. Forty years ago, the US was seriously exploring coal gasification in the belief that it would soon run out of oil and natural gas. The obsession is with those who demand China end use of coal because they do not understand how little CO2 is increasing atmospheric temperatures

Rose goes on to explain that even the most ardent advocates of abolishing CO2 emissions are reluctant to address China:

Even the eco-protesters blocking our motorways pay no attention to the fact China is pumping out pollution on an unprecedented scale.

Last week, when a BBC reporter asked the group that spawned them, Extinction Rebellion, why they were not demonstrating outside the Chinese embassy, he was accused of ‘perpetuating anti-Chinese racist stereotypes’.

Former Tory leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith, co-chair of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which has members in 20 countries, told me this week that ‘governments across the free world have been utterly supine’.

He added: ‘China may say their emissions will peak by 2030 but meanwhile they are building all the new coal-fired power stations they need, to do whatever they please.

‘Yet they are being let off the hook while other countries are being asked to step up to measures that will have an incalculable economic impact. China will watch while we collapse our economies and they become all-powerful.’

Gary Smith, general secretary of the GMB union, thousands of whose members have lost their jobs to Chinese competitors, puts it more succinctly: ‘We are importing virtue and exporting jobs.’

Let us look at how emissions compare with Western countries. China’s total emissions have far outstripped America’s. Indeed, they amount to more than the rest of the developed world put together — although admittedly they are still lower by one measure: America still emits more per head of population.

However, that ceased to be true of Britain in 2014 — and by 2018 China was well ahead, with 6.84 tonnes of CO2 emitted per capita, against 5.3 tonnes in Britain. To appreciate how fast China’s economy and emissions have grown, consider that in 1990 we emitted 9.6 tonnes per head and China just 1.84 tonnes.

Since 2018, our emissions have continued to fall while China’s have increased. In total, the International Energy Agency (IEA) says, they have risen in China by 365 per cent since 1990. In the same period, Britain’s fell by 35 per cent.

See links under Seeking a Common Ground.

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Misleading Parliament: The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) issued a report that UK’s Climate Change Committee grossly mislead Parliament over the costs of the UK for achieving net zero carbon emissions. The report stated:

“* Highly optimistic assumptions about EV costs have been called into question by the actual development of EV costs since the CCC advised Parliament

“* Committee on Climate Change spreadsheets only revealed after 2-year freedom of information campaign

“* Costs could be £60,000 per household higher than the CCC estimates that MPs used when they were considering Net Zero legislation

“The Climate Change Committee (CCC) told MPs that British households and businesses would face only a modest cost for reaching Net Zero emissions in 2050, but analysis of their financial models by the Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF) shows that key assumptions were not credible even at the time the report was published.”

Electric vehicles are only a small part of the problem. No one knows how much it will cost to build adequate storage for electricity required for zero carbon dioxide emissions. Yet politicians riding a wave of imaginary technology in the future don’t care. As with committing troops into war, it difficult to hold politicians for wrongful actions. The same problems apply to many Western countries. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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Censorship: The Copernicus Gatekeepers of Truth objected to a paper by Pascal Richet after it had been published. According to Kenneth richard of the No Tricks Zone:

“As an Earth scientist (geochemist and thermodynamicist) commenting on the CO2 ice core data, he is claimed to have improperly benefitted from a too-friendly peer-review process because 3 of the reviewers allegedly “have ties to industry benefitting from the manuscript conclusions.” (What ‘benefit’ this is remains unspecified.)”

Not only is the action reprehensible, but the name of the organization engaged in censorship is reprehensible. During his lifetime, Copernicus did not wish to publish his findings that the earth circled the sun for fear of censorship. Now, this organization is using his name for censorship? See links under Censorship.

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Understanding Underwater Color: Like photos of industrial chimneys emitting steam, colored dark accompanying claims of invisible CO2 causing dangerous global warming, photos of by “bleached” corals may be deceptive. Jennifer Marohasy explains why: “wavelengths in the blue part of the visible light spectrum penetrate water to some few metres, while all the wavelengths in the red part of the spectrum are absorbed by 5 metres under the water.” So deep, blue waters are the result of water filtering out certain wavelengths with depth of the water. Further, often what appears to be ‘bleached” corals may be naturally beige. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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It’s Not the Average Which Counts: John Robson discusses an issue that is often used by wind promoters which confuses the public: with erratic generation of wind power, average is largely meaningless. Robson writes:

“Behind most economic mistakes is some kind of math error, technical or intuitive. And it’s certainly true of the energy crisis sweeping Britain and Europe. Terry Etam writes in BOE Report that enthusiasts for alternative energy in Britain were hypnotized by the average output of wind farms and did not consider the old joke about the statistician who ‘drowned because he forded a river that was only three feet deep, on average’. They really forgot, or chose to ignore, that wind blows hard on some days and not at all on others, even though demand exists on both. Which makes you wonder what else they don’t know.”

See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and Questioning European Green.

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Another Look at the China Problem: Many commentators are optimistically claiming China will reduce CO2 emissions stating, stating recent are an example. Australian Jo Nova has a different view. She writes:

“China used to import $14 billion dollars worth of coal from Australia. Then Australia asked for an investigation into the origin of Covid-19 and to show how much it cared about the truth the communist party launched a trade war which left some 70 container ships with 1,400 crew languishing for months off China. There are rumours China may only have a couple of weeks of coal stockpiled. Perhaps the latest Chinese power cuts could force it to import Australian coal again before the winter chill really strikes?” See links under Problems in the Orthodoxy.

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The World’s Biggest: Built by Climeworks the world’s biggest carbon dioxide removal plant has opened in Iceland. It will remove about 3 seconds of the world’s emission of CO2. The Washington Post published:

“At the moment, the costs are high: about $600 to $800 per metric ton of carbon dioxide, [co-founder] Gebald said, far from the levels around $100 to $150 per ton that are necessary to turn a profit without the help of any government subsidies. The costs reflect both the hand-hewn nature of the technology — Climeworks’ installations are mostly built by hand for now, not through automation — and also the large amounts of energy needed to power the CO2 capture process.”

“The Orca installation was built in Iceland both because the tiny island nation has ample supplies of climate-friendly geothermal energy as well as just the right underground geology to make it easy to capture carbon.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/s/climate-solutions/2021/09/08/co2-capture-plan-iceland-climeworks/?pwapi_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJzdWJpZCI6IjM5MTg0MDYwIiwicmVhc29uIjoiZ2lmdCIsIm5iZiI6MTYzMTIwOTQ1NSwiaXNzIjoic3Vic2NyaXB0aW9ucyIsImV4cCI6MTYzMjQxOTA1NSwiaWF0IjoxNjMxMjA5NDU1LCJqdGkiOiJlZjNjNTk4NS03ZTZiLTRmMTgtYjIzNi02N2YxM2IxZTE5YmIiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy53YXNoaW5ndG9ucG9zdC5jb20vY2xpbWF0ZS1zb2x1dGlvbnMvMjAyMS8wOS8wOC9jbzItY2FwdHVyZS1wbGFuLWljZWxhbmQtY2xpbWV3b3Jrcy8ifQ.dhXJLfEKgbFKqGDRDcwAEH3NT5ShBg4PCkYstoFEhy4

See links under Below the Bottom Line.

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14th ICCC: The 14th International Conference on Climate Change presented by The Heartland Institute will be October 15 to 17, 2021, at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/

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Number of the Week: 0.14 °C per Decade: The University of Alabama – Huntsville has its monthly atmospheric temperature report for the bulk atmosphere. The linear trend since January 1979 remains at 0.14 °C per Decade. This is hardly cause for drastic action to suppress CO2 emissions.

Censorship

Activists Get A Recent Paper That Threatens Climate Alarm Narratives Removed From Journal

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Sep 30, 2021

Link to paper: The temperature–CO2 climate connection: an epistemological reappraisal of ice-core messages

By Pascal Richet, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris

Documentary Review: Corporate Cronyism Makes Right To Protest Wind Projects A Crime In Sweden

By P Gosselin, From Headwind 21, a documentary review, Kalte Sonne, No Tricks Zone, Sep 28, 2021

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Download with no charge:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Download with no charge:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Climate Change Committee misled Parliament about the cost of Net Zero

Press Release, GWPF, Sep 26, 2021

Energy poverty is not an option for India’s 360 million poor

By Vijay Jayaraj, American Thinker, Sep 22, 2021

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/09/energy_poverty_is_not_an_option_for_indias_360_million_poor.html

Bleached from a Distance

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, Sep 26, 2021

Climate Alarmist Claim Fact Checks

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Sep 27, 2021

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/alarmist_claim_rebuttals_updated/

From Covid to Climate, Take Nobody’s Word for It — Including the ‘Experts’

By Gordon J. Fulks, Real Clear Energy, September 29, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/29/from_covid_to_climate_take_nobodys_word_for_it__including_the_experts_796713.html

The ‘Science’ of Climate Change

By Norman Rogers, American Thinker, Sep 25, 2021

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/09/the_science_of_climate_change.html

Wind over math

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Sep 29, 2021

Defending the Orthodoxy

Earth Is Warmer Than It’s Been in 125,000 Years

A landmark assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change says greenhouse gases are unequivocally driving extreme weather, but nations can still prevent the worst impacts

By Jeff Tollefson, Nature Magazine, Via Scientific American, August 9, 2021

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/earth-is-warmer-than-its-been-in-125-000-years/

Link to the report: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis

Link to: Summary for Policymakers

Top climate summit official on reconciliation bill: It’s important to ‘show progress’

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Sep 24, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/573831-top-climate-summit-official-on-reconciliation-bill-its-important-to

“Whether it’s the U.S. or any other country, being able to show progress domestically is, of course … going to be important in terms of them encouraging others to do the same,” Alok Sharma, the president of the COP26 United Nations climate change conference, told reporters.

[SEPP Comment: The UN official is from the Maldives, that held cabinet meetings underwater for propaganda purposes. Will he hold the COP 26 meeting in Glasgow underwater?]

Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science

Andrew Dessler: Going Downstream with Climate Alarmism (economics, public policy ahead)

By Robert Bradley Jr. Master Resource, Sep 30, 2021

“’I realize lots of people don’t like government regulation, but the alternative is an out-of-control climate.’ (A. Dessler: March 23, 2019)”

Questioning the Orthodoxy

THE PODIUM | Will climate crusade eclipse the poor?

By Chris Wright, Colorado Politics, Sep 22, 2021

https://www.coloradopolitics.com/opinion/the-podium-will-climate-crusade-eclipse-the-poor/article_01ea61ea-1b37-11ec-9a05-df42347fd44c.html

“Chris Wright is the chairman and CEO of Liberty Oilfield Services.”

The Emperor Penguin Extinction Scam & Sea Ice Dynamics

By Jim Steele, WUWT, Oct 1, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Video As known populations increase, extinction become more possible?]

Boris Johnson Bets on Wind

Britain’s energy crisis has been a decade in the making.

By Rupert Darwall, Real Clear energy, September 30, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/30/boris_johnson_bets_on_wind_796823.html

“More remarkable than the British prime minister’s lack of self-awareness is the fairy tale that he told about Britain becoming the Saudi Arabia of wind and inviting China to see how Britain was faring without coal.”

Because it worked so well the last time

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Sep 29, 2021

“And what did anyone think was going to happen? Seriously. Citizens should be demanding answers. Even in a country like Canada, where so far the big problem is gas costing $1.35 a litre or more, we need to insist that politicians give a straightforward answer to the question ‘Did you realize this situation would cause hardship when you created it on purpose?’”

Allysia Finley: Climate policy meets cold reality in Europe

By Allysia Finley, WSJ, Via GWPF, Sep 28, 2021

Access to fossil fuels decides life and death in Sub-Saharan Africa

By Vijay Javarai, BPR, Sep 27, 2021

https://www.bizpacreview.com/2021/09/27/access-to-fossil-fuels-decides-life-and-death-in-sub-saharan-africa-1140699/

Change in US Administrations

President Biden’s ‘Green’ Obsession Is Already a Disaster

By Daniel Turner, Real Clear Energy September 29, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/28/president_bidens_green_obsession_is_already_a_disaster_796380.html

Joe Biden’s Policies Increase U.S. Dependence on China

Domestic rare-earth mining is being thwarted by green regulations.

By Duggan Flanakin, Real Clear Energy, September 23, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/09/23/joe_bidens_policies_increase_us_dependence_on_china_795866.html

Green gold rush — Part 2: Some big numbers

By David Wojick, CFACT, Sep 24, 2021

https://www.cfact.org/2021/09/24/green-gold-rush-part-2-some-big-numbers/

Plastics industry lashes out at ‘regressive’ Democratic tax plan

By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Sep 26, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/equilibrium-sustainability/573908-plastics-industry-lashes-out-at-regressive-democratic-tax

Social Benefits of Carbon Dioxide

How CO2 Saves the Earth: Greenhouse Gas have Vital Warming & Cooling Effects

By Jim Steele, WUWT, Sep 25, 2021

Video, The benefits of the greenhouse effect.

Higher CO2 levels responsible for ‘greening’ Earth

By Staff, ICECAP, Sep 26, 2021

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/icing-the-hype/higher_co2_levels_responsible_for_greening_earth/

We Are CO2

By Ron Clutz, Science Matters, Sep 30, 2021



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